Anytime Touchdowns
What’s up! Real quick, before we get to the picks →
This is the only thing in betting I'd put a guarantee on.
Most of you don't know I run a private community. Separate from these free picks.
In there, I copy a small group of proven winners on prediction markets and post their exact plays. You tail in a couple of minutes a day, zero research.
Not profitable in 90 days? You don't pay.
Now let's eat.
#6 - D. Montgomery (Tail best line)
David Montgomery enters Week 1 with a clear path to goal-line opportunities.
• Scored 8 touchdowns last season despite a career-low in touches
• Should have full control of the backfield this season
• Arizona allowed 17 rushing touchdowns last year, with only Buffalo allowing more
Montgomery's expanded workload combined with one of the league's most vulnerable red-zone defenses gives him a strong opportunity to score.
#5 - O. Hampton (Tail best line)
Omarion Hampton enters Week 1 in an ideal environment to find the end zone.
• Chargers are 10.5-point favorites, the largest spread on the Week 1 board
• Enters the season as the clear-cut workhorse back
• Arizona allowed the 2nd-most rushing touchdowns last season with 17
OddsJam flagged this as heavy +EV, and the game script makes it hard to argue with. Mike McDaniel's addition only makes Hampton's touchdown upside more appealing.
#4 - A. St. Brown (Tail best line)
Amon-Ra St. Brown remains Detroit's premier option when the field gets condensed.
• Ranked 2nd in the NFL with 11 receiving touchdowns last season
• Saw a league-high 41.5% red-zone target share
• Has caught double-digit touchdowns in each of the past three seasons
With New Orleans losing starting slot corner Alontae Taylor this offseason, St. Brown's elite red-zone role becomes even more appealing.
#3 - J. Gibbs (Tail best line)
Jahmyr Gibbs enters the season coming off one of the most productive touchdown campaigns in football.
• Scored 18 touchdowns last season, 2nd-most in the NFL
• Should see a larger share of the goal-line opportunities this season
• Has been targeted on 22.8% of his career routes, one of the highest rates among high-volume running backs
Gibbs' ability to score both on the ground and through the air gives him multiple paths to another touchdown.
#2 - J. Dart (Tail best line)
Jaxson Dart's rushing ability gives him a legitimate path to finding the end zone against Dallas.
• Scored 9 rushing touchdowns last season, 2nd-most among quarterbacks
• Cowboys allowed an NFL-high 8 rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks
• Dallas also allowed the 3rd-most rushing yards to quarterbacks last season
Sharp Money on OddsJam moved on this fast, and the matchup helps explain why. Dart's red-zone rushing ability lines up perfectly with an area Dallas struggled to defend.
That’s the list. Week 1 is loaded with touchdown opportunities, and we’ve got five guys ready to find the end zone right out of the gate.
See you out there,
-Joe
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