Anytime Touchdowns
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#6 - D. Henry (Tail best line)
Derrick Henry picked up right where he left off with a monster Week 1.
• Scored 3 rushing touchdowns in the opener
• Baltimore used him on outside-zone concepts on 62.5% of his runs, well above his previous career high of 48.7%
• New Orleans just allowed Jahmyr Gibbs to rack up 186 total yards and 2 touchdowns
Henry's red-zone role combined with what we just saw from this Saints defense gives him another strong opportunity to score.
#5 - C. Lamb (Tail best line)
CeeDee Lamb remains the clear focal point of the Dallas passing attack.
• Found the end zone against the Giants in Week 1
• Led Dallas in targets, catches, and receiving yards, catching 5 of 8 targets
• Has out-targeted George Pickens 117 to 95 when both have been on the field together dating back to last season
OddsJam flagged this as heavy +EV, and Lamb's target dominance makes it hard to argue with. Miami just surrendered 3 passing touchdowns to Las Vegas in Week 1.
#4 - B. Robinson (Tail best line)
Bijan Robinson's Week 1 usage was about as elite as it gets.
• Finished with 173 total yards and a touchdown on 29 touches
• Posted a 52.6% target share, the highest single-game mark by an RB dating back to at least 2007
• Has topped 100 total yards in 4 straight meetings with Carolina, scoring multiple touchdowns in 3 of them
Carolina just allowed a league-high 8.3 yards per touch and 4 touchdowns to Chicago's backfield, setting Bijan up for another massive opportunity.
#3 - CMC (Tail best line)
Christian McCaffrey continues to own the touches that matter most around the goal line.
• Handled every San Francisco backfield touch inside the red zone in Week 1
• Gained more yards than expected on 58.3% of his carries, the 4th-best rate in the NFL last week
• Miami just surrendered 189 scrimmage yards and 2 touchdowns to Las Vegas' backfield
With San Francisco entering as a double-digit home favorite, the expected game script should repeatedly put McCaffrey in scoring position.
#2 - JSN (Tail best line)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba's ridiculous usage from last season carried directly into Week 1.
• Opened the season with 8 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown on 11 targets
• Accounted for 45.8% of Seattle's targets
• Commanded 51.3% of the team's air yards
Sharp Money on OddsJam caught sharps pounding this early, and the coverage matchup is exactly why they're on it. Arizona just allowed Ladd McConkey to turn only 18 routes into 5 catches, 82 yards, and a touchdown.
That’s the list. Week 2 is here, and we’ve got five touchdown spots across the Sunday slate ready to find the end zone.
See you out there,
-Joe