Monday 6/15

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#6 - P. Crow-Armstrong: O 1.5 Total Bases

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s power and matchup continue to support extra-base potential.

• Has cleared this in 74% of his last 20 games
• Opposing starter owns a 7.54 ERA and 1.90 WHIP
• Batters are hitting .355 against this pitcher this season

Leadoff volume plus favorable hitting conditions make this an attractive over spot.

#5 - F. Alvarez: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Francisco Alvarez draws one of the toughest matchups on the slate.

• Has cleared this in only 34% of his last 20 games
• Expected to bat 9th in the lineup
• Opposing starter owns a 2.14 ERA and 10.5 K/9

The combination of limited plate appearances and elite pitching creates a difficult path to two H+R+RBI.

#4 - E. Rodriguez: U 1.5 Total Bases

Endy Rodriguez’s profile continues to trend below this number.

• Has cleared this in only 17% of his last 20 games
• Expected to bat 7th in the lineup
• Opposing pitcher is holding hitters to a .206 batting average

Limited lineup position and a difficult pitching matchup cap his total-base upside.

#3 - O. Lopez: O 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Otto Lopez’s contact profile continues to line up with a favorable matchup.

• Has cleared this in 86% of his last 20 games
• Batting .343 this season with a 15.2% strikeout rate
• Philadelphia ranks as the WORST defense in MLB (DRS: -31)

Batting near the top of the order should create plenty of opportunities.

#2 - C. Burns: U 2.5 Earned Runs

Chase Burns’ run prevention profile continues to trend well below this number.

• Has stayed under this in 97% of his last 20 starts
• Owns a 2.14 ERA and 0.99 WHIP this season
• Projects for just 1.2 earned runs over 5.2 innings

The Mets average only 4.06 runs per game, supporting another strong outing.

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