Monday 6/29

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  • 2 Picks: 3.5x (was 3x)

  • 3 Picks: 6.5x (was 6x)

This isn't a promo. This is the new standard.

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#6 - J. Bowen: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Jase Bowen’s offensive profile continues to trend well below this number.

• Has cleared this just once over his last 12 games
• Expected to bat 9th in the lineup
• Hits just .059 vs. left-handed pitching this season

The matchup against Shota Imanaga and Chicago’s MLB-best defense make this a difficult spot despite the favorable wind.

#5 - F. Fermin: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Freddy Fermin’s recent production continues to trend below this number.

• Has missed this in 6 straight games
• Expected to bat 8th in the lineup
• Has not recorded a hit over his last 6 games

The bottom-of-the-order role and matchup against an elite pitching staff continue to cap his upside.

#4 - C. Thomas: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Colby Thomas’ recent form continues to trend well below this number.

• Has cleared this just once over his last 12 games
• Batting only .080 over that stretch
• Faces Eric Lauer, who owns a 2.54 ERA and 0.92 WHIP

The Dodgers’ elite defense adds another obstacle to reaching two H+R+RBI.

#3 - B. Ashcraft: U 2.5 Earned Runs

Braxton Ashcraft’s run prevention profile continues to trend below this number.

• Has stayed under this in 81% of his last 20 starts
• Projects for just 1.8 earned runs over 5.2 innings
• Owns a 3.07 ERA and 1.09 WHIP this season

His ability to limit runs and baserunners continues to support the under.

#2 - TJ Rumfield: O 1.5 Total Bases

TJ Rumfield’s contact profile lines up with one of the better hitting matchups on the slate.

• Has cleared this in 75% of his last 20 games
• Hits .302 vs. right-handed pitching with a 14.6% strikeout rate
• Faces Sandy Alcantara, who owns a 4.01 ERA

Batting cleanup against a below-average starter and weak Miami defense creates a strong over opportunity.

My #1 pick is below.

Quick reminder: Our last top pick was D. Schneider: U 0.5 Runs.

He finished with 0. Easy cash.

That’s four #1 hits in a row.

Today's pick is ready.

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