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Paul Goldschmidt continues to be one of the hottest hitters on the slate.

• Has cleared this in 89% of his last 18 games
• Batting .349 over his last 18 games
• Expected to bat 4th in the lineup for strong RBI opportunities

A favorable matchup plus wind blowing out further supports the over.

Mike Yastrzemski’s recent form continues to trend well below this number.

• Has cleared this just once over his last 14 games
• Batting only .162 over that stretch
• Expected to bat 8th in the lineup

The combination of poor form, lineup position, and a high-strikeout matchup limits upside. My #1 pick has hit his projection just once over his last 14 games.

Jeff McNeil’s recent production and matchup both point toward the under.

• Has cleared this just once over his last 19 games
• Expected to bat 9th in the lineup
• Batting only .121 over his last 19 games

The combination of limited plate appearances and an elite opposing starter creates a difficult path to two H+R+RBI.

Martin Perez’s contact suppression profile continues to trend well below this number.

• Has stayed under this in 20+ straight starts
• Projects for just 3.6 hits allowed over 5.1 innings
• Opposing hitters are batting only .201 against him this season

His ability to limit quality contact continues to create a strong cushion below this line.

Bo Bichette’s recent production continues to support another strong performance.

• Has cleared this in 7 straight games (3.9 total bases avg)
• Batting an incredible .500 over his last 7 games
• Opposing starter owns a 5.86 ERA and 1.47 WHIP

The matchup, weather, and Philadelphia’s MLB-worst defense all support the over.

Our last #1 pick was D. Swanson: U 0.5 RBI.

Result: 0. That one hit.

That’s 2 hits in a row.

Today's top pick is below.