Thursday 7/30
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2 Picks: 3.5x (was 3x)
3 Picks: 6.5x (was 6x)
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#6 - C. Koss: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI
Christian Koss' offensive profile continues to trend below this number.
• Has cleared this in only 13% of his last 20 games
• Expected to bat 9th in the lineup
• Hitting just .143 against left-handed pitching this season
The bottom-of-the-order role and difficult lefty matchup favor another under.
#5 - J. Vivas: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI
Jorbit Vivas' recent production continues to trend below this number.
• Has cleared this just twice over his last 18 games
• Batting only .156 during that stretch
• Faces Grant Holmes, who owns a 3.79 ERA
The bottom-of-the-order role and Atlanta's strong defense create another favorable under. My #1 pick has missed his projection in 6 straight games.
#4 - S. Gray: U 2.5 Earned Runs
Sonny Gray's run prevention profile continues to support the under.
• Has allowed 3+ earned runs just once over his last 6 starts
• Projects for just 1.6 earned runs over 5.3 innings
• Owns a 2.78 ERA this season
His consistency continues to make the under an appealing play.
#3 - H. Bolte: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI
Henry Bolte draws another difficult offensive matchup.
• Has cleared this in only 24% of his last 20 games
• Faces Sonny Gray, who owns a 2.78 ERA and 1.16 WHIP
• Carries a 27.7% strikeout rate this season
The elite pitching matchup and Boston's strong defense make this another strong under.
#2 - J. Irvin: O 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
Jake Irvin's strikeout profile continues to support the over.
• Has cleared this in 14 of his last 15 starts
• Projects for 5.7 strikeouts over 5.0 innings
• Owns an elite 10.2 K/9 this season
His swing-and-miss ability creates a sizable cushion above this line.
N. Church: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI cashed last #1 pick.
Finished with 1.
That’s 13 MLB #1 pick hits in a row, it’s automatic at this point.
My next #1 pick is below.
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