Thursday 8/20

Most apps run promos that expire in a week.

Underdog just did something different. They permanently increased payouts on Pick 2 and Pick 3 entries.

  • 2 Picks: 3.5x (was 3x)

  • 3 Picks: 6.5x (was 6x)

This isn't a promo. This is the new standard.

New to Underdog? Play $5, get $50.

#6 - C. Freeman: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Cody Freeman’s offensive profile continues to trend below this number.

• Has cleared this in only 25% of his last 20 games
• Expected to bat 8th in the lineup
• Owns a 23.3% strikeout rate

The bottom-of-the-order role and matchup against Andrew Alvarez favor the under.

#5 - Y. Diaz: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Yainer Diaz continues to struggle to produce enough combined offense to clear this line.

• Has cleared this in only 17% of his last 20 games
• Expected to bat 9th in the lineup
• Batting .252 this season

The limited plate appearances from the bottom of the order make two H+R+RBI difficult to expect. My #1 pick has hit his projections just once over his last 6 games.

#4 - E. Carter: U 0.5 Runs

Evan Carter’s matchup and lineup position create a difficult path to scoring a run.

• Has scored a run in only 20% of his last 20 games
• Expected to bat 9th in the lineup
• Hitting just .115 against left-handed pitching this season

The poor lefty split and bottom-of-the-order role strongly support the under.

#3 - P. Lambert: U 2.5 Earned Runs

Peter Lambert’s run prevention profile continues to support the under.

• Has allowed 3+ earned runs in only 12% of his last 20 games
• Projects for just 1.7 earned runs over 5.0 innings
• Owns a 3.11 ERA and 1.15 WHIP this season

His ability to limit runs and baserunners creates another favorable spot below this line.

#2 - M. Ballesteros: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Moises Ballesteros’ offensive production continues to trend well below this number.

• Has cleared this in only 8% of his last 20 games
• Batting just .204 this season
• Faces Peter Lambert, who is allowing only a .214 batting average

The combination of Ballesteros’ struggles and Lambert’s contact suppression favors the under.

My #1 pick is below.

Quick reminder: last top pick was I. Collins: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

He finished with 0. Easy cash.

That’s 16 straight #1 MLB pick hits, just can’t miss.

Today's pick is ready.

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