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Ezequiel Tovar’s profile continues to trend below this number.

• Has cleared this in only 31% of his last 20 games
• Expected to bat 8th in the lineup
• Hits just .211 vs. right-handed pitching this season

Boston’s elite defense and Tovar’s elevated strikeout rate create a difficult path to two H+R+RBI.

Brandon Sproat’s run prevention profile continues to trend above this number.

• Has gone over this in 74% of his last 20 starts
• Projects for 3.3 earned runs over 5.0 innings
• Owns a 5.94 ERA and 1.46 WHIP this season

The frequent baserunners and elevated ERA continue to support the over. My #1 pick has hit his projection just once over his last 8 games.

Steven Kwan’s recent production continues to trend below this number.

• Has cleared this in only 16% of his last 20 games
• Expected to bat 9th in the lineup
• Batting just .206 this season

Limited plate appearances and a quality opposing starter make this a difficult over.

Pedro Pages’ profile continues to trend below this number.

• Has cleared this in only 20% of his last 20 games
• Expected to bat 9th in the lineup
• Hits just .188 vs. left-handed pitching this season

The bottom-of-the-order role and difficult matchup continue to cap his upside.

Juan Soto’s contact profile continues to support another hit.

• Has recorded a hit in 83% of his last 20 games
• Hits .314 vs. right-handed pitching this season
• Opposing starter owns a 5.21 ERA and 1.49 WHIP

Batting third in the order provides strong opportunities against a hittable matchup.

My #1 pick is below.

Quick reminder: yesterday's top pick was Derek Hill: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

He finished with 1. Easy cash.

Today's pick is ready.