Tuesday 6/30

Most apps run promos that expire in a week.

Underdog just did something different. They permanently increased payouts on Pick 2 and Pick 3 entries.

  • 2 Picks: 3.5x (was 3x)

  • 3 Picks: 6.5x (was 6x)

This isn't a promo. This is the new standard.

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#6 - J. Cronenworth: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Jake Cronenworth’s recent form continues to trend well below this number.

• Has missed this in 9 straight games
• Expected to bat 9th in the lineup
• Hitting just .045 over his last 9 games

Matthew Boyd’s elite strikeout ability and Chicago’s MLB-best defense make this a difficult spot for offensive production.

#5 - L. Roupp: O 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts

Landen Roupp’s strikeout profile continues to support the over.

• Has cleared this in 82% of his last 20 starts
• Projects for 5.5 strikeouts over 5.0 innings
• Owns a 9.9 K/9 this season

His consistent swing-and-miss ability creates a strong edge over this line. My #1 pick has missed his projection in 8 straight games.

#4 - TJ Rumfield: O 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

TJ Rumfield continues to be one of the hottest bats on the slate.

• Has cleared this in 12 straight games
• Hitting .391 over his last 12 games
• Batting .294 this season with a 14.4% strikeout rate

Batting cleanup against a below-average starter and weak Miami defense creates another strong over opportunity.

#3 - M. Perez: U 5.5 Hits Allowed

Martin Perez’s contact suppression continues to support the under.

• Has allowed 6+ hits just once over his last 20 starts
• Projects for just 3.9 hits allowed over 5.1 innings
• Opposing hitters are batting only .210 against him this season

His ability to limit hard contact continues to create a sizable cushion below this line.

#2 - S. Ohtani: O 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Shohei Ohtani enters another elite offensive spot.

• Has cleared this in 3 straight games (4.3 H+R+RBI avg)
• Batting .297 this season while leading off
• Faces Jeffrey Springs, who owns a 5.52 ERA and 1.33 WHIP

The matchup against a hittable pitcher and Oakland’s weak defense sets up well for another big night.

Yesterday's #1 pick was J. Young: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Result: 0. That one hit.

That’s 5 #1 hits in a row which is insane.

Today's top pick is below.

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