Tuesday 8/18

Most apps run promos that expire in a week.

Underdog just did something different. They permanently increased payouts on Pick 2 and Pick 3 entries.

  • 2 Picks: 3.5x (was 3x)

  • 3 Picks: 6.5x (was 6x)

This isn't a promo. This is the new standard.

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#6 - C. Norby: U 0.5 RBI

Connor Norby’s recent production continues to strongly favor the under.

• Has gone 14 straight games without an RBI
• Expected to bat 7th in the lineup
• Hitting just .161 against left-handed pitching this season

His recent drought, strikeout risk, and matchup against an elite Dodgers defense make an RBI difficult to expect.

#5 - J. Perkins: O 2.5 Earned Runs

Jack Perkins continues to struggle with run prevention.

• Has allowed 3+ earned runs in 10 of his last 12 games
• Projects for 4.2 earned runs over 5.1 innings
• Owns a 7.27 ERA and 1.52 WHIP this season

His recent form and elevated baserunner rate create a strong opportunity for another 3+ run outing. My #1 pick has missed his projection in 8 straight games.

#4 - C. Narvaez: U 0.5 Hits

Carlos Narvaez’s recent struggles at the plate continue to support the under.

• Has recorded just 3 hits over his last 19 games
• Batting only .068 during that stretch
• Faces a starter allowing just a .198 batting average with a 10.2 K/9

The bottom-of-the-order role and 32.8% strikeout rate make even one hit difficult to trust.

#3 - C. Javier: U 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts

Cristian Javier’s recent strikeout production continues to trend below this line.

• Has recorded 5+ strikeouts just once over his last 12 games
• Projects for only 3.9 strikeouts over 5.0 innings
• Owns just a 7.0 K/9 this season

His recent lack of strikeout volume makes five punchouts a difficult number to reach.

#2 - C. Rafaela: O 0.5 Hits

Ceddanne Rafaela draws one of the more favorable hitting matchups on the slate.

• Has recorded a hit in 80% of his last 20 games
• Expected to bat 2nd for premium plate appearances
• Faces a starter with a 5.11 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, and just a 5.9 K/9

Rafaela’s .293 average against righties and the favorable pitching matchup create a strong opportunity for another hit.

R. Jeffers: O 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI cashed last #1 pick.

Finished with 2.

That’s 15 MLB #1 pick hits in a row, its just not going to miss.

My next #1 pick is below.

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