Tuesday 8/18
Most apps run promos that expire in a week.
Underdog just did something different. They permanently increased payouts on Pick 2 and Pick 3 entries.
2 Picks: 3.5x (was 3x)
3 Picks: 6.5x (was 6x)
This isn't a promo. This is the new standard.
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#6 - C. Norby: U 0.5 RBI
Connor Norby’s recent production continues to strongly favor the under.
• Has gone 14 straight games without an RBI
• Expected to bat 7th in the lineup
• Hitting just .161 against left-handed pitching this season
His recent drought, strikeout risk, and matchup against an elite Dodgers defense make an RBI difficult to expect.
#5 - J. Perkins: O 2.5 Earned Runs
Jack Perkins continues to struggle with run prevention.
• Has allowed 3+ earned runs in 10 of his last 12 games
• Projects for 4.2 earned runs over 5.1 innings
• Owns a 7.27 ERA and 1.52 WHIP this season
His recent form and elevated baserunner rate create a strong opportunity for another 3+ run outing. My #1 pick has missed his projection in 8 straight games.
#4 - C. Narvaez: U 0.5 Hits
Carlos Narvaez’s recent struggles at the plate continue to support the under.
• Has recorded just 3 hits over his last 19 games
• Batting only .068 during that stretch
• Faces a starter allowing just a .198 batting average with a 10.2 K/9
The bottom-of-the-order role and 32.8% strikeout rate make even one hit difficult to trust.
#3 - C. Javier: U 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
Cristian Javier’s recent strikeout production continues to trend below this line.
• Has recorded 5+ strikeouts just once over his last 12 games
• Projects for only 3.9 strikeouts over 5.0 innings
• Owns just a 7.0 K/9 this season
His recent lack of strikeout volume makes five punchouts a difficult number to reach.
#2 - C. Rafaela: O 0.5 Hits
Ceddanne Rafaela draws one of the more favorable hitting matchups on the slate.
• Has recorded a hit in 80% of his last 20 games
• Expected to bat 2nd for premium plate appearances
• Faces a starter with a 5.11 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, and just a 5.9 K/9
Rafaela’s .293 average against righties and the favorable pitching matchup create a strong opportunity for another hit.
R. Jeffers: O 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI cashed last #1 pick.
Finished with 2.
That’s 15 MLB #1 pick hits in a row, its just not going to miss.
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