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Zack Wheeler’s run prevention profile continues to support the under.

• Has stayed under this in 82% of his last 20 starts
• Projects for just 1.3 earned runs over 5.6 innings
• Owns a 2.03 ERA and 0.86 WHIP this season

His elite ability to suppress runs and baserunners creates another strong under spot.

Austin Wells’ recent production continues to trend well below this number.

• Has cleared this just once over his last 12 games
• Expected to bat 7th in the lineup
• Batting only .061 over his last 12 games

Troy Melton’s elite numbers make this a difficult matchup for offensive production.

Zac Gallen’s recent struggles continue to support the over.

• Has allowed 3+ earned runs in 7 straight starts
• Projects for 3.5 earned runs over 5.1 innings
• Owns a 6.16 ERA and 1.58 WHIP this season

The elevated ERA and constant traffic on the bases continue to point toward another rough outing.

Yandy Díaz continues to find himself in ideal run-scoring spots.

• Has scored a run in 7 straight games
• Hits .343 vs. right-handed pitching this season
• Expected to bat leadoff against a pitcher with a 4.18 ERA and 1.37 WHIP

The matchup, weather, and leadoff role all set up well for another run scored.

Troy Melton’s contact suppression continues to support the under.

• Has allowed 6+ hits just twice over his last 20 starts
• Projects for just 3.3 hits allowed over 5.4 innings
• Opposing hitters are batting only .180 against him this season

New York’s below-average offense adds further support to the under.

Yesterday's #1 pick was C. Narváez: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Result: 0. That one hit.

That’s six #1 hits in a row.

Today's top pick is below.