Wednesday 7/8
Most apps run promos that expire in a week.
Underdog just did something different. They permanently increased payouts on Pick 2 and Pick 3 entries.
2 Picks: 3.5x (was 3x)
3 Picks: 6.5x (was 6x)
This isn't a promo. This is the new standard.
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#6 - T. Gray: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI
Tristan Gray’s offensive profile continues to trend below this number.
• Has missed this in 4 straight games
• Expected to bat 8th in the lineup
• Owns a 31.8% strikeout rate while batting just .226 this season
The bottom-of-the-order role and swing-and-miss profile limit his offensive upside.
#5 - J. Holliday: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI
Jackson Holliday’s recent production continues to trend below this number.
• Has missed this in 7 straight games with just one hit during that stretch
• Expected to bat 9th in the lineup
• Batting only .183 this season
Chicago’s MLB-best defense adds another obstacle to reaching two H+R+RBI. My #1 pick has hir his projection just once over his last 8 games.
#4 - T. Melton: U 5.5 Hits Allowed
Troy Melton’s contact suppression continues to support the under.
• Has allowed 6+ hits just twice over his last 20 starts
• Projects for just 3.1 hits allowed over 5.4 innings
• Opposing hitters are batting only .168 against him this season
His elite ability to limit hard contact creates a substantial cushion below this line.
#3 - A. Volpe: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI
Anthony Volpe’s matchup continues to favor the under.
• Has cleared this in only 17% of his last 20 games
• Expected to bat 8th in the lineup
• Faces Shane McClanahan, who owns a 3.05 ERA while allowing just a .225 batting average
The Rays’ elite defense and Volpe’s lineup spot make this a difficult over.
#2 - C. Burns: U 2.5 Earned Runs
Chase Burns’ run prevention profile continues to support the under.
• Has allowed 3+ earned runs just once over his last 14 starts
• Projects for just 1.4 earned runs over 5.2 innings
• Owns a 2.40 ERA and 1.08 WHIP this season
His ability to limit runs and baserunners continues to create a strong edge below this line.
My #1 pick is below.
Quick reminder: last top pick was D. Varsho: U 1.5 Total Bases.
He finished with 0. Easy cash.
That’s 9 #1 hit in a row. Let’s make it 10
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