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RJ Harvey continues to have a consistent role in Denver's passing game.

• Caught 47 passes last season, ranking RB8
• Finished with 356 receiving yards, also ranking RB8
• Was targeted on 22.8% of his routes and cleared this number in both games against Kansas City

Harvey's established receiving usage gives him a strong path to three catches in a familiar matchup.

Kenneth Walker III enters Kansas City with an opportunity to bring explosiveness to a backfield that has lacked it.

• Racked up 417 scrimmage yards and 4 touchdowns across three playoff games on his way to Super Bowl MVP
• Has produced a 10+ yard run on 12.1% of his career carries, the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL over that span
• Averaged 8.1 yards per rush beyond the line of scrimmage last season, 2nd-best in the league

OddsJam flagged this as one of the biggest +EV numbers on the board, and Walker's explosive rushing profile makes it easy to see why. A larger workload gives him plenty of opportunity to clear this number.

Rashee Rice remains one of the most heavily targeted receivers in football when he's on the field.

• Averaged 71.4 receiving yards per game from Week 7 through Week 15 last season
• Has been targeted on 30.4% of his routes over the past two seasons, 2nd-highest in the NFL
• Posted 2.44 yards per route run over that span, 6th-best among receivers

Rice's combination of elite target volume and efficiency gives him plenty of room above this number.

Jaylen Waddle enters the season positioned as the clear WR1 in Denver's passing attack.

• Led all WRs with a 48.4% share of his team's air yards while active last season
• Ranked WR12 with a 24.3% target share and WR7 with 2.47 yards per route run
• Denver ranked 2nd in screen rate to WRs and 3rd in go-route rate, two areas that fit Waddle's skill set

With Kansas City's secondary undergoing significant turnover, Waddle's combination of volume and downfield usage gives him a strong opportunity to clear this number.

Travis Kelce continues to command a significant role in Kansas City's passing attack.

• Played on 83.4% of the team's dropbacks last season, ranking TE4
• Accounted for 19.7% of the team's targets, ranking TE5
• Caught 9 of 13 targets for 91 yards and a touchdown against Denver with Mahomes last season

Sharp Money on OddsJam moved on this one early, and Kelce's usage in this exact matchup helps explain why. Denver allowed the 7th-most targets to tight ends last season.

That’s the list. Week 1 wraps up with Broncos vs. Chiefs on Monday Night Football, and we’ve got five spots to attack in this AFC West showdown.

See you out there,

-Joe

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