PHI @ CHI
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#5 - D. Wicks: O 40+ Rec Yards (Tail best line)
Dontayvion Wicks has opened the season with back-to-back strong performances and now has another opportunity for his role to grow.
• Opened the season with 73 and 74 receiving yards, clearing this number in both games
• Dallas Goedert's injury opens up additional targets in the passing game
• Was targeted on 21.4% of his routes last week despite playing through a minor injury
Wicks has already shown he can clear this line on limited opportunities, and the additional available targets give him another path to 40+ yards.
#4 - D. Swift: O 1+ TDs (Tail best line)
D’Andre Swift has established himself as the clear workhorse in Chicago's backfield.
• Led the backfield with 67.1% of the snaps and 21 touches last week
• Ran 19 routes compared to just 5 for the backup, giving him receiving opportunities as well
• Ran for 125 yards and a touchdown against Philadelphia last November
OddsJam has Swift showing a strong +EV edge, and his control of both the rushing and receiving work gives him multiple ways to get into the end zone.
#3 - K. Raymond: O 25+ Rec Yards (Tail best line)
Kalif Raymond's role has quietly grown through each of Detroit's first two games.
• Opened with 8 catches for 84 yards before adding 5 catches for 40 yards last week
• Route participation jumped from 57.9% in Week 1 to 78% last week
• Owns 44.4% of Detroit's third-down targets, 8th-highest in the NFL
Raymond has already cleared 25 receiving yards in both games, and his growing route participation gives him a strong opportunity to make it three straight.
#2 - D. Smith: O 73+ Rec Yards (Tail best line)
DeVonta Smith's usage is exploding, and this matchup fits exactly where he's been most dangerous.
• Just caught 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards and a touchdown
• Target share has climbed from 27.3% in Week 1 to 37.1% last week
• Runs a route on 96% of Philadelphia's dropbacks
Chicago plays Cover 1 at the 2nd-highest rate in football, and Smith has commanded 38.9% of Philadelphia's targets against that coverage this season. That's also where he's producing 2.74 yards per route run, making this a particularly strong matchup for his skill set.
#1 - J. Hurts: O 1 TDs (Tail best line)
Jalen Hurts is still searching for his first rushing touchdown of the season, but this sets up as a great spot to finally get one.
• Philadelphia enters without Saquon Barkley and Dallas Goedert
• Chicago already allowed Bryce Young to score on the ground in Week 1
• Hurts remains one of the NFL's biggest quarterback rushing threats around the goal line
The tush push hasn't disappeared, and OddsJam's Sharp Money tool is seeing notable action on Hurts to score. With two major scoring options missing, this is a spot where his goal-line role could become even more important.
That’s the list. Week 3 closes out in Chicago with Eagles vs. Bears on Monday Night Football, and we’ve got five spots to attack before kickoff.
See you out there,
-Joe