Welcome back to NFL Drop Army.
Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NFL.
We are on an absolutely historic run — FULL SWEEPING TNF, SNF, and MNF in Week 8.
✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅
Tomorrow we’re turning $100 into $1,200 on TNF 👇 👇
By the way, my process starts and ends with EV Analytics, so I want to thank them for sponsoring today’s newsletter 👇
Crush Your Bets with the Most Sophisticated NFL Projections!
• Lines move quickly, so don’t miss out on early Week 9 betting opportunities! Derek Carty’s football player prop projection model, THE BLITZ—now offered exclusively on EV Analytics—is here to help you stay ahead of the sportsbooks and bet like a pro.
• Leverage THE BLITZ's cutting-edge analytics and advanced projections to uncover hidden value in NFL player props the books aren't accounting for. Gain the confidence to make smarter bets with real-time data at your fingertips.
Take advantage of our 20% off NFL Full Season Premium on EV Analytics and start making smarter bets today—this offer won’t last long!
Get the discount → (link) 👀
NBA IS OFF AND RUNNING! SUBSCRIBE…
TNF picks - Part 2 (HOU @ NYJ)
#5
👇 T. Dell: U 11.25 fantasy points
Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Dell may be the last man standing, but he’s up against a Jets defense allowing the league’s lowest catch rate to outside receivers and the 2nd-fewest fantasy points. His role is bigger, but this defense doesn’t let outside receivers do damage. This one’s all about the matchup, and he’s not getting there.
#4
👇 D. Adams: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs
Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Adams is lining up in the slot twice as much as he did with the Raiders, and Houston has allowed more slot receiver touchdowns than any other team this season. The Texans simply can’t contain slot threats, making this the perfect setup. With Adams seeing more red-zone looks, this one feels like free money..
#3
👇 G. Wilson: O 19.5 longest rec
Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Houston defends outside receivers better than slot guys, but when they do get beat, it’s always deep. They’re giving up the 5th-most big plays to outside receivers, and Wilson’s cleared this number in 4 of his last 5 games. The line’s a soft one, so we’ll keep punishing the apps for these longest reception projections.
#2
👇 C.J. Stroud: U 239.5 pass yards
Best Line: (Underdog - alt) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Stroud is missing his top two targets against a Jets defense that has locked down QBs all season, allowing the 3rd-fewest passing yards and the 2nd-lowest adjusted completion rate. Without his key weapons, Stroud’s number is way too high, especially given this tough matchup.