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Devin Vassell’s scoring profile continues to trend below this number.

• Has cleared this just 4 times over his last 16 games
• New York allows the FEWEST points over their last 10 games
• Is shooting just 33.3% from the field over his last 4 games

The Knicks continue to suppress scoring efficiency, creating a difficult path to this number.

Josh Hart’s all-around production continues to trend below this number.

• Has cleared this in only 33.3% of his last 12 games
• San Antonio ranks as the 2ND-BEST defense over their last 15 games
• San Antonio allows just 21.3 PPG to SFs this season (3RD-FEWEST)

The Spurs also hold opposing SFs to the LOWEST FG% in the league, making this a difficult matchup. My #1 pick has hit his projection in just 28.6% of his playoff games.

OG Anunoby’s perimeter volume continues to trend above this number.

• Has cleared this in 83.3% of playoff games (2.3 avg)
• San Antonio allows the 6TH-MOST made threes to PFs this season
• Playoff per-minute pace projects him for 20.3 points

The combination of volume and matchup continues to support another multi-three performance.

Victor Wembanyama’s scoring and facilitating ceiling runs into one of the league’s toughest defensive matchups.

• Has cleared this in only 25% of his last 16 games (25.2 Pts+Ast avg)
• New York ranks as the BEST defense over their last 5 games
• New York allows the FEWEST assists to centers this season (3.2 per game)

The Knicks also limit center scoring efficiency and recently held Jarrett Allen well below his season production.

Karl-Anthony Towns’ all-around production continues to project above this number.

• Has cleared this in 50% of playoff games (33.4 PRA avg)
• San Antonio allows the MOST assists to centers this season
• Per-minute projections place him at 39.5 PRA

The matchup provides strong scoring and playmaking upside, giving Towns a clear path above this line.

My #1 pick is below.

Quick reminder: OKC/SAS Game 7 my top pick was Cason Wallace: O 1.5 Steals.

He finished with 2 steals. That’s three #1 pick hits in a row.

Wednesdays’ pick is ready.