Knicks @ Spurs

12x Sweep Game 1

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  • 3 Picks: 6.5x (was 6x)

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#6 - Wemby: U 3.5 Blocks

Victor Wembanyama’s block production continues to trend below this number.

β€’ Has cleared this just once over his last 11 games (2.5 BPG avg)
β€’ Missed this in Game 1
β€’ New York plays at the 4TH-SLOWEST pace in the NBA

The slower pace creates fewer shot-blocking opportunities, making four blocks a difficult target.

#5 - OG Anunoby: O 15.5 Points

OG Anunoby’s scoring profile continues to trend above this number.

β€’ Has cleared this in 77% of playoff games (19.5 PPG avg)
β€’ Cleared this in Game 1 with 17 points
β€’ San Antonio allows the 6TH-MOST made threes to PFs this season

The Spurs also allow elevated free-throw volume to opposing PFs, supporting OG’s scoring outlook. My #1 pick has missed his projection in 3 of his last 4 games.

#4 - S. Castle: O 4.5 Rebounds

Stephon Castle’s rebounding profile continues to trend above this number.

β€’ Has cleared this in 8 of his last 9 games (6 RPG avg)
β€’ Cleared this in Game 1 with 8 rebounds
β€’ Has seen a +5.0 minute boost above his season average

The increased workload continues to create strong rebounding opportunities.

#3 - J. Hart: U 25.5 PRA

Josh Hart’s all-around production continues to trend below this number.

β€’ Missed this in Game 1 with 24 PRA
β€’ Has cleared this in just 31% of his last 13 games (23.4 PRA avg)
β€’ San Antonio allows the FEWEST points to opposing SFs on the road this season

The Spurs also hold SFs to just 44.6% shooting, limiting Hart’s overall production ceiling.

#2 - J. Brunson: U 6.5 Assists

Jalen Brunson’s playmaking profile continues to trend below this number.

β€’ Missed this in Game 1 with just 2 assists
β€’ Has cleared this just once over his last 6 games
β€’ San Antonio allows the 3RD-FEWEST assists over their last 20 games

The Spurs also allow just 7.4 APG to point guards this season, creating a difficult setup for Brunson to reach seven assists.

Yesterday's #1 pick was Jalen Brunson: U 7.5 Assists.

Result: 2 assists. That one hit.

That’s four #1 pick hits in a row.

Today's top pick is below.

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