Spurs @ Knicks
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#6 - D. Fox: U 1.5 Steals
DeβAaron Foxβs defensive production continues to trend below this number.
β’ Has not cleared this once vs. New York this series
β’ Has cleared this in only 26.3% of playoff games (1.2 steals avg)
β’ New York plays at the 4TH-SLOWEST pace in the NBA
The slower pace creates fewer possessions and fewer opportunities for steals.
#5 - OG Anunoby: O 16.5 Points
OG Anunobyβs scoring profile continues to trend above this number.
β’ Has cleared this in 11 of his last 13 games (20.5 PPG avg)
β’ Has cleared this in every game vs. San Antonio this series (20.7 avg)
β’ Per-minute playoff projections place him at 21.6 points
The Spurs also allow elevated three-point and free-throw volume to opposing PFs, supporting OGβs scoring outlook. My #1 pick has crushed his projection in 3 of his last 4 games.
#4 - J. Champagnie: O 15.5 PRA
Julian Champagnieβs all-around production continues to trend above this number.
β’ Is 2 for 3 vs. New York this series (18.7 avg vs 15.5 line)
β’ Has cleared this in 76% of his last 17 games (19.8 PRA avg)
β’ Per-minute projections place him at 20.7 PRA
Champagnieβs recent production continues to provide a solid cushion above this line.
#3 - Wemby: U 42.5 Pts+Reb
Victor Wembanyamaβs scoring and rebounding ceiling continues to run into an elite New York defense.
β’ Is 1 for 3 vs. New York this series
β’ Has cleared this in only 30% of playoff games (37.5 Pts+Reb avg)
β’ New York allows the FEWEST points over their last 10 games
The Knicks also limit center scoring efficiency and rebounds, creating a difficult path to this number.
#2 - D. Harper: U 3.5 Assists
Dylan Harperβs playmaking profile continues to trend below this number.
β’ Is 1 for 3 vs. New York this series
β’ Has cleared this just 3 times over his last 14 games (2.6 APG avg)
β’ New York allows the FEWEST assists over their last 15 games
The Knicks also allow the 3RD-FEWEST assists to SGs, creating a difficult setup for Harper.
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