Spurs @ Knicks
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#6 - D. Fox: U 1.5 Steals
De’Aaron Fox’s defensive production continues to trend below this number.
• Has not cleared this once vs. New York this series
• Has cleared this in only 26.3% of playoff games (1.2 steals avg)
• New York plays at the 4TH-SLOWEST pace in the NBA
The slower pace creates fewer possessions and fewer opportunities for steals.
#5 - OG Anunoby: O 16.5 Points
OG Anunoby’s scoring profile continues to trend above this number.
• Has cleared this in 11 of his last 13 games (20.5 PPG avg)
• Has cleared this in every game vs. San Antonio this series (20.7 avg)
• Per-minute playoff projections place him at 21.6 points
The Spurs also allow elevated three-point and free-throw volume to opposing PFs, supporting OG’s scoring outlook. My #1 pick has crushed his projection in 3 of his last 4 games.
#4 - J. Champagnie: O 15.5 PRA
Julian Champagnie’s all-around production continues to trend above this number.
• Is 2 for 3 vs. New York this series (18.7 avg vs 15.5 line)
• Has cleared this in 76% of his last 17 games (19.8 PRA avg)
• Per-minute projections place him at 20.7 PRA
Champagnie’s recent production continues to provide a solid cushion above this line.
#3 - Wemby: U 42.5 Pts+Reb
Victor Wembanyama’s scoring and rebounding ceiling continues to run into an elite New York defense.
• Is 1 for 3 vs. New York this series
• Has cleared this in only 30% of playoff games (37.5 Pts+Reb avg)
• New York allows the FEWEST points over their last 10 games
The Knicks also limit center scoring efficiency and rebounds, creating a difficult path to this number.
#2 - D. Harper: U 3.5 Assists
Dylan Harper’s playmaking profile continues to trend below this number.
• Is 1 for 3 vs. New York this series
• Has cleared this just 3 times over his last 14 games (2.6 APG avg)
• New York allows the FEWEST assists over their last 15 games
The Knicks also allow the 3RD-FEWEST assists to SGs, creating a difficult setup for Harper.
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