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Keldon Johnson’s perimeter volume continues to line up with a favorable matchup.

• Is 5 for 6 vs. Oklahoma City this series
• Has cleared this in 70.6% of playoff games (0.9 avg)
• Oklahoma City allows the 4TH-MOST made threes to SFs this season

The Thunder also allow elevated three-point volume in the playoffs, supporting another make from deep.

Jaylin Williams’ scoring role continues to trend below this number.

• Is 2 for 6 vs. San Antonio this series
• Has cleared this in only 28.6% of playoff games (4.5 avg)
• San Antonio ranks as the 2ND-BEST defense over their last 15 games

The Spurs also limit PF scoring efficiency, while Williams is seeing a significant minute reduction. My #1 pick has hit his projection in every game this series.

Devin Vassell’s scoring profile continues to trend below this number.

• Is 2 for 6 vs. Oklahoma City this series
• Has cleared this in only 35.3% of playoff games (13.1 avg)
• Oklahoma City allows just 22.7 PPG to SGs this season (10TH-FEWEST)

The Thunder also hold SGs to just 43.8% shooting, limiting scoring efficiency.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s all-around ceiling continues to run into San Antonio’s elite defense.

• Is 2 for 6 vs. San Antonio this series (35.8 avg vs 41.5 line)
• Has cleared this in only 35.7% of playoff games (37.8 avg)
• San Antonio allows the 4TH-FEWEST points over their last 15 games

The Spurs also limit PG efficiency and assists, while playoff pace projections fall below this number.

Isaiah Hartenstein’s all-around production continues to trend above this number.

• Is 3 for 6 vs. San Antonio this series
• Has cleared this in 64.3% of playoff games (20.6 avg)
• San Antonio allows the MOST assists to centers this season

Per-minute projections continue to place Hartenstein comfortably above this line.

Yesterday's #1 pick was Ajay Mitchell: U 12.5 Points.

Result: 2 Points.

That one crushed. Today's top pick is below.