OKC @ SAS - Game 6

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#6 - V. Wembanyama: U 3.5 Assists

Victor Wembanyama’s facilitating ceiling continues to trend below this number.

β€’ Has cleared this in only 26.7% of playoff games (2.8 avg)
β€’ Is 2 for 5 vs. Oklahoma City this series
β€’ Oklahoma City allows the 9TH-FEWEST assists over their last 10 games

The Thunder continue limiting overall ball movement and assist opportunities.

#5 - I. Hartenstein: O 18.5 PRA

Isaiah Hartenstein’s all-around production continues to trend comfortably above this number.

β€’ Has cleared this in 8 of his last 10 games (21.9 PRA avg)
β€’ Is 3 for 5 vs. San Antonio this series
β€’ San Antonio allows the MOST assists to centers this season

Per-minute projections place Hartenstein well above this line, while Oklahoma City’s offense continues producing elite scoring volume. My #1 pick has hit his projection just once in 5 games this series.

#4 - S. Castle: U 5.5 Rebounds

Stephon Castle’s rebounding role continues trending below this number.

β€’ Has cleared this just 3 times over his last 14 games
β€’ Is 1 for 5 vs. Oklahoma City this series
β€’ Oklahoma City has played at the 6TH-SLOWEST pace over their last 5 games

The slower pace environment continues limiting rebound opportunity.

#3 - D. Fox: O 18.5 Pts+Reb

De’Aaron Fox’s scoring and rebounding profile continues to project above this number.

β€’ Is 2 for 3 vs. Oklahoma City this series
β€’ Has cleared this in 78.6% of playoff games (21.6 avg)
β€’ Per-minute projections place him at 23.8 Pts+Reb

Oklahoma City also allows the MOST three-point attempts and MOST free-throw attempts to opposing PGs this season.

#2 - SGA: U 0.5 Double Double

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s double-double ceiling continues to trend below this number.

β€’ Has recorded just 3 double-doubles over his last 20 games
β€’ San Antonio allows the 4TH-FEWEST points over their last 20 games
β€’ San Antonio allows the 5TH-LOWEST FG% to PGs this season

Oklahoma City also ranks near the bottom of the league in offensive rebounds, limiting extra assist and scoring opportunities.

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