OKC @ SAS - Game 6
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#6 - V. Wembanyama: U 3.5 Assists
Victor Wembanyamaβs facilitating ceiling continues to trend below this number.
β’ Has cleared this in only 26.7% of playoff games (2.8 avg)
β’ Is 2 for 5 vs. Oklahoma City this series
β’ Oklahoma City allows the 9TH-FEWEST assists over their last 10 games
The Thunder continue limiting overall ball movement and assist opportunities.
#5 - I. Hartenstein: O 18.5 PRA
Isaiah Hartensteinβs all-around production continues to trend comfortably above this number.
β’ Has cleared this in 8 of his last 10 games (21.9 PRA avg)
β’ Is 3 for 5 vs. San Antonio this series
β’ San Antonio allows the MOST assists to centers this season
Per-minute projections place Hartenstein well above this line, while Oklahoma Cityβs offense continues producing elite scoring volume. My #1 pick has hit his projection just once in 5 games this series.
#4 - S. Castle: U 5.5 Rebounds
Stephon Castleβs rebounding role continues trending below this number.
β’ Has cleared this just 3 times over his last 14 games
β’ Is 1 for 5 vs. Oklahoma City this series
β’ Oklahoma City has played at the 6TH-SLOWEST pace over their last 5 games
The slower pace environment continues limiting rebound opportunity.
#3 - D. Fox: O 18.5 Pts+Reb
DeβAaron Foxβs scoring and rebounding profile continues to project above this number.
β’ Is 2 for 3 vs. Oklahoma City this series
β’ Has cleared this in 78.6% of playoff games (21.6 avg)
β’ Per-minute projections place him at 23.8 Pts+Reb
Oklahoma City also allows the MOST three-point attempts and MOST free-throw attempts to opposing PGs this season.
#2 - SGA: U 0.5 Double Double
Shai Gilgeous-Alexanderβs double-double ceiling continues to trend below this number.
β’ Has recorded just 3 double-doubles over his last 20 games
β’ San Antonio allows the 4TH-FEWEST points over their last 20 games
β’ San Antonio allows the 5TH-LOWEST FG% to PGs this season
Oklahoma City also ranks near the bottom of the league in offensive rebounds, limiting extra assist and scoring opportunities.
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