Cavs @ Knicks - Game 1

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#6 - M. Robinson: U 7.5 Rebounds

Mitchell Robinson’s rebounding ceiling continues to trend below this number.

β€’ Has cleared this in just 3 of his last 15 games
β€’ Has cleared this in only 11.1% of playoff games (5.3 avg)
β€’ Cleveland allows the 6TH-FEWEST rebounds over their last 10 games

The Cavaliers also play at the slowest road pace over their last 5 games, limiting total rebound opportunity.

#5 - E. Mobley: U 0.5 Double Double

Evan Mobley’s rebounding ceiling continues to struggle in this matchup.

β€’ Has recorded just one double-double over his last 8 games
β€’ Has not recorded a double-double in any matchup vs. New York this season
β€’ New York allows the FEWEST points over their last 5 games (99.4 per game)

The Knicks also allow the 7TH-FEWEST points and rebounds to PFs this season, suppressing Mobley’s path to a double-double. My #1 pick has hit his projection just once over his last 6 games.

#4 - D. Wade: O 0.5 3PT Made

Dean Wade’s perimeter role continues to generate consistent volume.

β€’ Has cleared this in 85.7% of playoff games (1 avg)
β€’ Has made at least one three in all 3 games vs. New York this season
β€’ New York allows the 4TH-MOST three-point attempts in the playoffs

The Knicks also allow the 4TH-MOST made threes to PFs this season, supporting Wade’s perimeter outlook.

#3 - O. Anunoby: O 24.5 PRA

OG Anunoby’s all-around production continues trending comfortably above this number.

β€’ Has cleared this in 5 of his last 6 games (31.8 avg PRA)
β€’ Cleveland allows the 5TH-MOST assists in the playoffs (24.9 per game)
β€’ Cleveland allows 23.7 PPG to PFs this season (5TH-MOST)

Playoff per-minute pace projects Anunoby to 30 PRA, well above this threshold.

#2 - D. Mitchell: U 26.5 Points

Donovan Mitchell’s scoring ceiling continues to trend downward against elite defense.

β€’ Has cleared this in just 32% of his last 20 games
β€’ Has missed this in 3 straight playoff games (21.7 avg)
β€’ New York allows the FEWEST points over their last 5 games (99.4 per game)

Mitchell also scored just 23 points in his last matchup vs. the Knicks.

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