NE @ SEA
What’s up! Real quick, before we get to the picks →
This is the only thing in betting I'd put a guarantee on.
Most of you don't know I run a private community. Separate from these free picks.
In there, I copy a small group of proven winners on prediction markets and post their exact plays. You tail in a couple of minutes a day, zero research.
Not profitable in 90 days? You don't pay.
Now let's eat.
#6 - J. Price: O 0.5 Anytime TDs (Tail best line)
Jadarian Price enters Week 1 with a legitimate opportunity to find the end zone.
• Ranked top-10 nationally in total touchdowns during his final college season
• Zach Charbonnet starting the year on PUP opens up touches in Seattle's backfield
• Charbonnet ranked 4th in the NFL in red-zone attempts last season, leaving a valuable role available
Price's path to goal-line work gives him a strong opportunity to score in his NFL debut.
#5 - R. Stevenson: O 23.5 Rec Yards (Tail best line)
Rhamondre Stevenson draws another favorable receiving matchup against Seattle.
• Caught 5 passes for 40 yards against the Seahawks in last year's Super Bowl
• Led the NFL in yards per reception among running backs at over 10 yards per catch
• Seattle allowed the most receptions to running backs last season
If TreVeyon Henderson is limited or out, Stevenson's workload should only climb. OddsJam caught a ton of sharp money on this one, and the potential injury-driven workload increase is likely why.
#4 - R. Doubs: O 39.5 Rec Yards (Tail best line)
Romeo Doubs enters the season with an expanded opportunity in Seattle's passing attack.
• Averaged 45.3 receiving yards per game last season
• Cleared this in his final 3 games while averaging 90 receiving yards
• Enters the season as the clear WR2 behind A.J. Brown
Seattle's zone-heavy matchup should create plenty of opportunities for Doubs underneath.
#3 - H. Henry: O 2.5 Receptions (Tail best line)
Hunter Henry draws a favorable matchup against a Seattle defense that struggled against tight ends last season.
• Cleared this number against Seattle in last year's Super Bowl
• Averaged 3.5 receptions per game last season
• Seahawks allowed the 5th-most receptions to tight ends last year
Henry needs just three catches to clear a number already below his season-long average.
#2 - JSN: O 5.5 Receptions (Tail best line)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba continues to have one of the strongest receiving roles in football.
• Led the NFL in target share last season
• Ranked 4th in receptions while averaging 7 per game
• Cleared this number in 70% of his games last season
This stands out as clearly +EV on OddsJam, and the target share is likely the main reason. His elite volume gives him multiple paths to six or more catches.
That’s the list. The NFL season officially kicks off with Patriots vs. Seahawks, and we’ve got five spots to attack right out of the gate.
See you out there,
-Joe
P.S. you can get $25 after depositing just $10 on NOVIG if you sign up using code HOLKASHOW