DAL @ GB

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#5 - M. Golden: O 66+ Rec Yards (Tail best line)

Matthew Golden has emerged as a key piece of Green Bay's passing attack and draws an excellent matchup against Dallas' vulnerable perimeter coverage.

• 86% of his targets come from the perimeter, where Dallas allows an NFL-high 24.7% target rate
• Dallas allows 7.8 yards per pass attempt and a 12.2% explosive-play rate, both 2nd-highest in the league
• Has cleared this number in 2 of his last 3 games, averaging 81.3 receiving yards

Golden also leads Green Bay with a 22.8% target share over that three-game stretch. OddsJam is showing a strong +EV edge on his receiving yardage number, and Dallas' struggles defending the perimeter give him an excellent opportunity to keep producing.

#4 - C. Lamb: O 81+ Rec Yards (Tail best line)

CeeDee Lamb disappointed last week after suffering a quad injury against Tampa Bay, but he appears ready to go after averaging over 150 receiving yards in his previous three games.

• 66% of his targets come from the perimeter, where his 34% target rate ranks 4th among WRs
• Green Bay allows a 23.6% perimeter target rate, 5th-highest in the NFL
• Ranks 5th among wide receivers with 3.30 yards per route run

Green Bay plays zone on 77% of snaps, and Lamb averages 12.1 yards per target against zone compared to just 5.2 against man. He also leads Dallas with a 29.5% target rate against two-high coverage, another look Green Bay frequently uses. If healthy, the matchup sets up perfectly for a bounce-back performance.

#3 - J. Williams: O 1+ Total TD (Tail best line)

Javonte Williams continues to be one of the NFL's most reliable touchdown scorers, and Green Bay presents another favorable matchup for his elite goal-line workload.

• Ranks 3rd among RBs with 7 total touchdowns, averaging 1.4 per game
• Green Bay allows 1.8 touchdowns per game to running backs, 2nd-most in the NFL
• Averages 4.6 touches inside the 20 and 3 touches inside the 10 per game, both top-5 among RBs

Williams has scored 5 touchdowns over his last 3 games and also found the end zone in his previous meeting with Green Bay. His consistent red-zone usage gives him another strong opportunity to extend that scoring streak.

#2 - C. Watson: O 1+ Total TD (Tail best line)

Christian Watson has been one of football's most productive scoring threats and gets a Dallas defense that's struggled to contain explosive passing plays.

• Ranks 2nd among WRs with 6 touchdowns, scoring in 4 of 5 games
• Leads the NFL with 7 end-zone targets
• Dallas allows 8.3 yards per attempt against zone coverage, 2nd-highest in the league

Watson averages 16.3 yards per target against zone compared to just 3.6 against man, giving him a favorable matchup against Dallas. With Green Bay carrying a 27.5-point implied team total, his league-leading end-zone involvement makes him a prime touchdown candidate.

#1 - J. Love: O 2+ Pass TDs(Tail best line)

Jordan Love has thrown multiple touchdowns in every game this season, and Dallas gives him an excellent opportunity to keep that streak alive.

• Dallas allows 4.2 red-zone trips per game, 3rd-most in the NFL
• Love averages 5.6 pass attempts per game inside the 20, 5th-most among quarterbacks
• Dallas allows a 7.2% passing touchdown rate, 4th-highest in the league

Love threw 3 touchdowns in his last meeting with Dallas, and Green Bay enters this matchup with a 27.5-point implied team total. OddsJam's Sharp Money tool is also picking up action on Love's passing touchdown number, adding to an already favorable scoring outlook.

That’s the list. Week 6 Sunday Night Football takes us to Lambeau Field for Cowboys vs. Packers, and we’ve got five spots to attack in what could be a big night for both offenses.

See you out there,

-Joe