DAL @ NYG
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#6 - C. Lamb: O 75.5 Rec Yards (Tail best line)
CeeDee Lamb draws a familiar matchup against a Giants defense he's consistently produced against.
• Posted a career-high 14.4 yards per catch and ranked WR9 with 2.38 yards per route run last season
• Giants allowed the 7th-most yards per target to wide receivers in 2025
• Averaged 84 receiving yards across his last 8 matchups against New York
Lamb's efficiency combined with his history against the Giants gives him a strong path to another big receiving day.
#5 - I. Likely: O 3.5 Receptions (Tail best line)
Isaiah Likely finally gets an opportunity to operate without Mark Andrews limiting his ceiling.
• Never played more than 60% of offensive snaps in a season while sharing the field with Andrews
• Was targeted on 18.7% of his routes when Andrews was off the field
• Already saw 2 targets on just 6 routes with Jaxson Dart this preseason
OddsJam had this flagged +EV before the market even reacted, and Likely's expanded role makes the number even more appealing. Dallas allowed the most passing yards in football last season.
#4 - C. Skattebo: O 15.5 Rec Yards (Tail best line)
Cam Skattebo's involvement in the passing game makes this a low number for his role.
• Averaged 27 receiving yards over his final 4 games before his injury
• Ran a route on 56.6% of dropbacks, ranking top-10 among running backs
• Dallas allowed the 2nd-most receiving yards to running backs last season
Skattebo's combination of route participation and target share gives him plenty of opportunities to clear just 15.5 yards.
#3 - J. Williams: O 72.5 Rush Yards (Tail best line)
Javonte Williams draws one of the best rushing matchups on the Week 1 board.
• Giants allowed the 2nd-most rushing yards and the most yards per carry to running backs last season
• Averaged 75 rushing yards per game in 2025
• Ran for 97 yards in his matchup against New York last season
Javonte already ranked 7th in snap percentage last year, and with even less competition for touches, the workload should be there again.
#2 - J. Dart: O 29.5 Rush Yards (Tail best line)
Jaxson Dart's legs give him another strong path to production against Dallas.
• Averaged 40.6 rushing yards per game last season
• Dallas allowed the 3rd-most rushing yards to quarterbacks in 2025
• Cleared this number in his last matchup against the Cowboys
Sharp Money on OddsJam absolutely hammered this line, and the matchup tells you why the pros jumped. Dart's 40.6-yard average gives him plenty of room above this number.
That’s the list. Sunday Night Football gives us Cowboys vs. Giants in an NFC East rivalry, and we’ve got five spots to attack under the lights.
See you out there,
-Joe
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