Welcome back to NFL Drop Army.
Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NFL.
NOTE: Apologies, guys. Today’s send went out later than it should have as my email provider had an issue where the send only went to part of my list. The good news is… most of these lines are still identical to what I took. Won’t happen again.
On a lighter note… I’ve never seen anything like this Thursday Night Football run we are on…
Let’s keep it going in Week 3 👇 👇
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Thursday Night Football picks (Patriots @ Jets)
#5
👇 B. Hall: O 4.5 rec
Best Line: (PrizePicks) (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Breece Hall has been Rodgers’ favorite check-down option, leading the team in targets. But the Patriots’ linebackers have struggled in coverage, ranking 7th-worst against running backs in receptions allowed. So, with Hall projected for 6.4 targets and the Jets running the 6th-most pass-heavy offense, he’s primed to clear 4.5 receptions.
#4
👇 H. Henry: O 3.5 rec
Best Line: (PrizePicks) (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Hunter Henry’s massive Week 2 target share (12 targets) shows he’s become Brissett’s safety valve under pressure. But while the Jets' defense is tough on tight ends, Henry's role in the passing game is undeniable, especially with New England likely chasing points as 7.5-point underdogs. So, Henry clearing 3.5 receptions looks like a strong play in this game script.
#3
👇 J. Brissett: U 166.5 pass yards
Best Line: (Underdog)| USE CODE: NFLARMY
Jacoby Brissett faces a tough matchup against a Jets defense that’s allowed the 5th-fewest passing yards over the last 10 games. But even though the Patriots may need to throw more as they trail, Brissett’s limited downfield success and poor protection make it difficult to see him hitting a big number. So, it's likely he finishes under 166.5 passing yards.
#2
👇 A. Rodgers: U 215.5 pass yards
Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Aaron Rodgers hasn’t topped 200 yards this season, operating in one of the slowest-paced offenses in the league. But what makes this even more difficult is the Patriots’ defense, which is excellent at limiting yards after the catch, ranking 3rd-best. So, in a low-volume game, Rodgers will likely finish below 215.5 passing yards.