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Zay Flowers is coming off a disappointing game without a catch, but his consistent target volume and Jacksonville's vulnerable secondary create an excellent bounce-back opportunity.

• Jacksonville allows 13.6 receptions per game to WRs, 5th-most in the NFL, while Flowers owns a 29.4% target share, 6th-highest among WRs
• Jacksonville allows a 67.4% catch rate to WRs, 5th-highest, while Flowers averages 0.30 targets per route run, 7th-highest among WRs
• Flowers has cleared this number in 6 of 7 games, averaging 6.6 receptions in those six games

Flowers still drew 5 targets last week despite failing to record a catch, showing his involvement hasn't disappeared. OddsJam's +EV tool is highlighting value on his receptions projection, and Jacksonville's generous coverage gives him an excellent opportunity to bounce back.

Parker Washington gets an excellent matchup against a Baltimore defense that's consistently allowed big receiving performances this season.

• Baltimore has allowed an 80+ yard receiver in 6 of 8 games, including four 100+ yard performances
• Washington commands 38% of Jacksonville's air yards, ranking in the top 10% among WRs
• Baltimore allows 9.2 yards per target to WRs, 5th-highest in the NFL

Washington also lines up in the slot on 44.3% of snaps, where his 31.5% target rate ranks 6th-highest among WRs. Baltimore has allowed the 5th-most slot receptions, creating another favorable opportunity for Washington to turn his downfield involvement into a big receiving performance.

Mark Andrews faces a difficult matchup against a Jacksonville defense that's been excellent at limiting explosive plays from opposing tight ends.

• Jacksonville allows just 4.8 yards per target to TEs, the lowest in the NFL
• The Jaguars allow 6.7 targets per game to TEs, 9th-fewest in the league
• Andrews has gone 6 straight games without recording a reception of 11+ yards

Andrews' target share has also dropped from 24% in Week 1 to just 15.4% last week, limiting his opportunities for bigger gains. Jacksonville's elite efficiency against tight ends and Andrews' recent struggles both support another game without an 11-yard reception.

Trevor Lawrence enters this matchup playing some of his best football, and Baltimore's recent defensive struggles create an excellent opportunity for another multi-touchdown performance.

• Baltimore allows a 66% red-zone touchdown rate, 9th-highest in the NFL, while Lawrence has 10 passing touchdowns inside the 20
• Baltimore has allowed 6 passing touchdowns over its last 2 games, while Lawrence has thrown 7 over his last 2
• Baltimore plays zone on 78.6% of dropbacks, 8th-highest, while Lawrence owns the NFL's best passer rating against zone at 111.4

Lawrence also averages 1.4 red-zone passing touchdowns per game, 10th-most among QBs. OddsJam's Sharp Money tool is also picking up action on his passing touchdown projection, adding another angle to a matchup that already favors his recent scoring production.

Justice Hill gets a favorable matchup against a Jacksonville defense that allows plenty of receiving opportunities to running backs, especially against zone coverage.

• Jacksonville allows 5.3 receptions per game to RBs, 6th-most in the NFL
• Jacksonville plays zone on 73.2% of snaps, 7th-highest, while Hill draws targets on 24.7% of his routes against zone compared with 10.7% against man
• Hill has caught 3+ passes in 3 straight games

Hill also led Baltimore with 6 targets and 4 receptions after Joe Fagnano entered against Buffalo, showing his value as a reliable receiving option. Jacksonville's zone-heavy approach and Hill's recent receiving consistency give him another strong opportunity to reach three catches.

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That’s the list. Week 9 Thursday Night Football takes us to Baltimore for Jaguars vs. Ravens, and we’ve got five spots to attack as these AFC teams kick off the week.

See you out there,

-Joe