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D'Andre Swift gets a favorable receiving matchup against New England, whose aggressive pressure should create plenty of checkdown opportunities for Chicago.

• New England blitzes on 38% of snaps, 8th-most in the NFL, while Caleb Williams checks down on 19.8% of his throws, 3rd-highest among QBs
• The Patriots allow 39.3 receiving yards per game to RBs, 6th-most in the league
• Swift has cleared this number in back-to-back games, averaging 28 receiving yards

Swift also commanded 13.9% of Chicago's targets last game, 3rd-most on the team. OddsJam is showing a strong +EV edge on his receiving yardage number, and New England's pressure-heavy approach should keep him involved as a reliable outlet.

DeMario Douglas is coming off another productive performance and draws an excellent matchup against a Chicago secondary that's been vulnerable to explosive receptions.

• Chicago allows 9.8 yards per target to WRs, 3rd-highest in the NFL, and an NFL-high 18.6% explosive reception rate
• Douglas commanded 25% of New England's targets last game, finishing with 8 targets, 7 receptions and 86 yards
• Has cleared this number in back-to-back games, averaging 75.5 receiving yards

With Romeo Doubs on IR and Mack Hollins out, Douglas steps into the No. 2 receiving role behind Brown. His recent target volume and Chicago's struggles defending wide receivers give him an excellent opportunity to keep producing.

Luther Burden continues to establish himself as Chicago's top receiving option and gets a favorable perimeter matchup against New England.

• 55% of his targets come from the perimeter, where his 34.3% target rate ranks 5th among WRs
• New England allows a 23.1% perimeter target rate, 7th-highest in the NFL
• Burden leads Chicago with a 20.7% target share and commanded 22.2% of the team's targets last game

Burden caught all 8 of his targets for 95 yards against Atlanta and has cleared this number in 4 of 6 games, averaging 68.3 yards over his last three. His growing involvement and favorable coverage matchup set him up for another strong performance.

Caleb Williams has been one of the NFL's most productive rushing quarterbacks, and New England's pressure-heavy defense creates another opportunity for him to make plays with his legs.

• New England pressures opposing QBs on 32.9% of dropbacks, 10th-most in the NFL
• Williams scrambles on 16.7% of pressured snaps, tied for 6th-highest among QBs
• Ranks 4th among quarterbacks with 36.7 rushing yards per game and averages 8.0 yards per scramble

Williams has cleared this number in 2 of 3 games and already has 4 carries inside the opponent's 10-yard line. With New England consistently generating pressure, his scrambling ability gives him a strong path to another productive rushing performance.

Drake Maye has been on a tear through the air and gets a Chicago defense that's struggled to limit explosive plays and keep opponents out of the end zone.

• Chicago allows 7.1 yards per pass attempt, 5th-highest in the NFL, and a 10.9% explosive-play rate, 6th-highest
• Opponents convert 71.4% of their red-zone trips into touchdowns against Chicago, 8th-highest in the league
• New England passes on 63% of its red-zone plays, 2nd-highest in the NFL

Maye has thrown at least 2 touchdowns in each of his last 3 games, totaling 10 over that stretch. OddsJam's Sharp Money tool is also picking up action on his passing touchdown number, and New England's pass-heavy red-zone approach gives him an excellent opportunity to extend that streak.

That’s the list. Week 7 kicks off in Chicago with Patriots vs. Bears on Thursday Night Football, and we’ve got five spots to attack before kickoff.

See you out there,

-Joe