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#5 - K. Walker III: O 2.5 Rec
Kenneth Walker’s receiving involvement has increased, and the personnel situation keeps his route volume elevated.
• Has surpassed this number in three straight games, averaging 3.7 receptions and 38 receiving yards
• With Charbonnet sidelined, Walker ran his most routes of the season last week
• New England allowed the sixth-most receptions to running backs this year, including four to R.J. Harvey last week
When routes rise and backs stay involved in the passing game, receptions follow.
#4 - R. Stevenson: O 22.5 Rec Yards
Rhamondre Stevenson’s receiving role has remained intact, and the matchup strongly favors production out of the backfield.
• Has cleared this number in six of his last eight games, averaging 32 receiving yards
• No team has allowed more receptions to running backs than Seattle this season
• Handled 25 touches last week compared to just three for Henderson, confirming backfield control
When usage consolidates and the defense leaks receptions to backs, receiving yardage stays in play. My #1 pick in another Patriot looking to crush he receiving line.
#3 - S. Diggs: O 5.5 Targets
Stefon Diggs’ yardage remains volatile, but his usage profile continues to support steady target volume.
• Has seen six targets in two straight games and is averaging six targets over his last six games
• Has run a route on over 85% of dropbacks in the postseason, up from 68.3% during the regular season
• Seattle forces the fifth-most passing attempts in the NFL, increasing overall target opportunities
When routes climb and pass volume rises, Diggs’ targets accumulate.
#2 - D. Maye: O 37.5 Rush Yards
Drake Maye’s scrambling ability continues to surface when defenses apply pressure, and the matchup supports another spike game on the ground.
• Has cleared this number in three of his last four games, topping 60 rushing yards twice in that span
• Averaged 3.6 scrambles per game this season, the second-highest rate among quarterbacks
• Seattle has allowed rushing yardage totals of 51, 41, 37, 37, and 32 yards to dual-threat quarterbacks this year
When pressure forces broken plays, Maye’s rushing production follows.
Drake Maye: O 30.5 Rushing Yards was our #1 pick on this exact email last week.
Maye ran for 64 yards. Easy money.
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