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Way-Too-Early Picks (Week 8)
#5
👇 B. Hall: O 69.5 rush yards
Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
The Patriots have been a disaster on the ground, giving up the most rushing yards to backfields over the last five weeks. On top of that, their linebackers rank 4th-worst in defending the run. What most people don’t see is that Hall is projected for over 19 carries—ranking him in the 98th percentile. So, with the Jets as 3-point favorites, the game script screams run-heavy. Hall is primed to smash 69.5 yards. Lock it in before it moves.
#4
👇 C. Kupp: O 69.5 rec yards
Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
The Vikings give up the 2nd-most targets to WRs, and their pass-heavy game scripts play right into Kupp’s hands. Kupp runs a route on nearly 96% of dropbacks, and he’s projected for over 11 targets—both in the top percentile for WRs. He’s a zone killer and the Vikings’ defense is the worst in the league against WRs, giving up 195 adjusted yards per game. Lock this in before the public pushes the line higher… Cooper Kupp is about to torch this defense.
#3
👇 N. Harris: O 64.5 rush yards
Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
The Giants are folding against the run, giving up the 3rd-highest rate of 10+ yard carries and ranking 4th-worst in yards per carry allowed. Najee is projected for 17 carries, putting him in the 89th percentile for RB volume. He’s already cleared 100 yards in back-to-back games, and with the Steelers running on over 50% of their plays, this line is way too low. Lock it in before it gets bumped.
#2
👇 G. Pickens: O 57.5 rec yards
Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
The Giants' pass defense has been leaky, allowing the 3rd-highest completion rate to WRs at 70.3%. Pickens is expected to see nearly 8 targets, placing him in the 89th percentile among wideouts this week. He’s averaging 98 air yards per game—an upgrade from last year—and has locked in a dominant role with Wilson. This 57.5 line is way too low for a player in such a prime spot. Get it before it’s gone.
Thursday Night Football picks (MIN @ LAR)
#6
👇 J. Jefferson: O 26.5 longest rec
Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Jefferson has been a monster this season, clearing 26.5 yards in 5 of his last 6 games. The Rams' defense? They’re bottom-3 at defending deep balls, allowing more than 50% of passes over 20 yards to connect, which is one of the worst rates in the league. On top of that, Jefferson is seeing a massive 34.2% target share, with nearly 12 targets expected in this game. He’s also improved his yards after catch (YAC) to 4.88 this year, making him even more dangerous in space. In calm conditions, this is an easy lock for Jefferson to crush this number again.
#5
👇 A. Jones: O 74.5 rush+rec
Best Line: (Sleeper - alt) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Jones has been a dual-threat all season, averaging 106 total yards per game. The Rams are giving up the 3rd most backfield touches per game, and their defense has been shredded by running backs, allowing the 3rd-most yards after the catch (9.7 YAC). Jones has also improved his receiving game this year, boasting a career-high 88.6% completion rate and 9.8 yards per target. He’s expected to get over 15 carries in this game, and with his increased workload in both the ground and air, 74.5 yards is a line that shouldn't even exist even as an alt. Lock this in.
#4
👇 C. Kupp: O 4.5 rec
Best Line: (Sleeper - alt) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
The apps are sleeping on Kupp after his injury, and we’re here to take full advantage. The reality is, Kupp could’ve played last week, but the Rams smartly gave him extra rest to be 100% for TNF. He’s running a route on almost every dropback (95.9%), and the Vikings are the perfect matchup, giving up the most QB pass attempts (43.3 per game) and the 2nd most WR targets in the league. Kupp’s projected for over 11 targets in this game. This line at 4.5 feels like a gift, and he’s going to blow past it.
#3
👇 W. Reichard: O 6.5 kicking points
Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
AUTOMATIC. Reichard has been money all season, and we’ve cashed in 5-0 on his picks so far. Given the predicted game dynamics, he’ll have plenty of chances to put up points, making this one of the easiest locks of the week. Let’s go 6-0.