WE ARE BACK.
It's another Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NFL in fun ways.
We hit 75% of our bets on Sunday! Join the giveaway below or tap here.
I don’t expect these way-too-early numbers to last long, so this is a great time to remind you that you should turn on Twitter (X) notifications so you don’t miss any “drops” or giveaways along the way.
Also: we started “$50 FLASH giveaways”… where you have to enter within the first 30 minutes of posting. There will be many more of these
REMINDER… You asked for it, and here it is ⬇️⬇️⬇️
Prop Drop is expanding to multiple sports. Be one of the 1st subscribers by tapping the links below for each new newsletter!
Basketball (NBA, CBB, WNBA) - Launched this week! 🚀🚀
Alright enough is enough already… let’s get into Week 17!
NFL betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so it’s important to get some action down early in the week. I can help with that!
Last week we stumbled with a 2-4 finish to this Way-too-Early card. But it’s time to bounce back… we still have over a 65% win rate on the season for this Wednesday send 👀
Today’s Prop Drop:
Note: Full analysis on picks later this week and on Twitter shortly, but today is about getting the best early action down… quickly.
I’ve started adding Thursday Night Football to this send, let’s attack the biggest edges earlier whenever possible!
Tap the bet to tail on PrizePicks before the line moves
Way-too-early:
4. 🏆 C. Olave: O 66.5 rec yards
We will see him against a BOTTOM-4 defense against wide receivers and we've seen the Bucs give up HUGE games to WR1s specifically (Aiyuk, Pittman, London, Ridley).
3. 🍀 G. Pickens: U 52.5 rec yards
Seattle has SMOTHERED outside WRs this year, where Pickens runs over 80% of his routes. Don’t fall victim to recency bias after his EXPLOSION last week, the target volume has still been rough for this high of a line.
2. 🎈 D.J. Moore: U 66.5 rec yards
He looked EXTREMELY LIMITED on that ankle when he re-entered the game last week. Keep an eye on his practice participation but I'm grabbing unders well in advance of that information against this STINGY Atlanta pass defense.
Thursday Night Football (NYJ@CLE)
J. Flacco: U 232.5 pass yards
A. Cooper: U 58.5 rec yards
T. Siemian: O 31.5 pass att. ****
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