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Way-Too-Early Bets (Week 3)
#7
👇 L. Jackson: U 222.5 pass yards
Best Line: (Sleeper) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Lamar’s projection might seem enticing, but the Cowboys' defense is no joke—they’ve allowed the 3rd-fewest passing yards per game since last season. BUT Dallas has also given up the fewest receptions to tight ends and wide receivers, making it hard for Lamar to find consistent targets. SO with the Ravens expected to pass at one of the lowest rates this week, and Lamar struggling with a drop in accuracy, this projection feels way too high
#6
👇 M. Andrews: U 40.5 rec yards
Mark Andrews is always a threat, BUT the Cowboys' defense is relentless against tight ends—they allowed the 3rd-fewest yards and fewest receptions to the position last season. SO while Andrews’ air yards are impressive, the combination of Dallas’ lockdown safeties and the Ravens’ lower pass rate makes it tough for him to hit this number.
#5
👇 D. Jones: U 194.5 pass yards
Best Line: (Betr) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Daniel Jones may look like a potential streaming option, BUT the Browns’ defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest passing yards to QBs since last season. Combine that with the fact the Giants' O-line is ranked the worst in protecting the QB, and Jones is set up for a tough day. SO with Cleveland’s elite pass coverage and Jones’ declining accuracy, this number is just too high.
#4
👇 M. Nabers: U 68.5 rec yards
Best Line: (PrizePicks) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Malik Nabers has the talent to dominate, BUT the Browns' defense ranks 2nd in fewest receiving yards allowed to wideouts. The Giants' offensive line won’t do Jones any favors, and Cleveland has the 3rd-best completion rate against WRs since last year. SO Nabers will struggle to get open and generate the yards needed to clear this projection.
#3
👇 B. Thomas Jr.: U 47.5 rec yards
Best Line: (PrizePicks) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Brian Thomas Jr. is a promising rookie, BUT the Bills’ defense has allowed the 5th-fewest targets and 6th-fewest receiving yards to wideouts since last season. The Jaguars’ passing game is also expected to slow down with fewer plays overall. SO in a matchup where Buffalo clamps down on big plays, Thomas won’t find much space to work with.
#2
👇 J. Daniels: U 215.5 pass yard
Daniels’ dual-threat ability makes him intriguing, BUT the Bengals' pass defense has been sneaky good, allowing the 9th-fewest pass attempts per game since last season. Cincinnati’s cornerbacks are elite, ranking 3rd-best in coverage, which limits the deep shots Daniels thrives on. SO it’s tough to see him hitting this projection in a game where the Commanders might lean on the run.